⚠️ 信号已过滤:ATR百分位过低(-78.7%),流动性不足
主方向信号(1h模型 · 24h预测)
做空 ▼
等待机会
共识: 6/7 | 入场: 突破入场
当前价格
$4,165.93
ATR7.49
ATR百分位-78.7%
ADX65.8
市场状态趋势市
盈亏比
1:3.2
TP 3.3% / SL 1.0%
Fold 投票分布(7个有效Fold)
🟢 做多: 1票🟡 观望: 0票🔴 做空: 6票
多时间窗口预测
| 时间窗口 | 方向 | 做多概率 | 做空概率 | 中性概率 | MFE预期 | MAE预期 | 趋势持续 |
| 6h后 | 观望 | 24.1% | 32.0% | 43.9% | +1.09% | -0.57% | -0.12 |
| 12h后 | 做空 | 28.6% | 44.1% | 27.2% | +2.08% | -0.14% | -0.19 |
| 24h后 | 做空 | 22.1% | 68.7% | 9.3% | +4.16% | +0.69% | -0.26 |
各 Fold 详情
| Fold | 方向 | 置信度 | 做多概率 | 做空概率 | 中性概率 | 质量分 | Champion分 |
| Fold 26 | 做空 ▼ | 96.7% | 1.8% | 96.7% | 1.5% | 48.4% | 2.9939 |
| Fold 06 | 做空 ▼ | 97.6% | 0.8% | 97.6% | 1.7% | 51.3% | 2.9215 |
| Fold 25 | 做空 ▼ | 95.0% | 0.7% | 95.0% | 4.3% | 52.1% | 2.8786 |
| Fold 18 | 做空 ▼ | 61.3% | 16.6% | 61.3% | 22.1% | 49.8% | 2.7465 |
| Fold 16 | 做多 ▲ | 91.1% | 91.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 49.7% | 2.6603 |
| Fold 02 | 做空 ▼ | 38.9% | 33.9% | 38.9% | 27.3% | 50.6% | 2.6658 |
| Fold 13 | 做空 ▼ | 86.3% | 9.6% | 86.3% | 4.1% | 51.1% | 2.6536 |
交易执行参数
入场策略
入场模式突破入场
建议仓位0.8%
仓位缩放0.5x
信号过滤已过滤
止损止盈(基于MFE/MAE)
止损(SL)1.0%
止盈(TP)3.3%
盈亏比1:3.2
主预测窗口24h 后
模型信息
模型架构
CNN-BiLSTM-Transformer
往期预测效果
| 时间 | 方向 | 置信度 | 入场价 | 实际价 | 盈亏比 | 结果 |
|---|
| 2026-07-06 03:18 | 做空 ▼ | 81% | $4,166 | — | 1:3.2 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 03:12 | 做空 ▼ | 81% | $4,169 | — | 1:3.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 03:06 | 做空 ▼ | 81% | $4,168 | — | 1:3.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 03:00 | 做空 ▼ | 82% | $4,172 | — | 1:4.5 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:54 | 做空 ▼ | 82% | $4,173 | — | 1:4.6 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:48 | 做空 ▼ | 82% | $4,175 | — | 1:4.7 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:42 | 做空 ▼ | 82% | $4,175 | — | 1:4.6 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:36 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,174 | — | 1:5.0 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:30 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,178 | — | 1:5.6 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:24 | 做空 ▼ | 82% | $4,185 | — | 1:9.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:18 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,181 | — | 1:6.8 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:12 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,180 | — | 1:6.7 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:06 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,186 | — | 1:10.9 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 02:00 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,191 | — | 1:9.3 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:54 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,193 | — | 1:9.9 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:48 | 做空 ▼ | 83% | $4,199 | — | 1:9.9 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:42 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,196 | — | 1:10.2 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:36 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,193 | — | 1:10.9 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:30 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,187 | — | 1:8.4 | ⏳ 待结算 |
| 2026-07-06 01:24 | 做空 ▼ | 84% | $4,185 | — | 1:7.0 | ⏳ 待结算 |